Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.516627 14.391649 16.391301 18.675925 21.207013 23.918441 27.035704
2025-02-09 10.048661 12.495320 15.262625 18.601704 22.497705 26.875867 32.142760
2025-02-16 7.981643 10.643122 13.812881 17.820306 22.702466 28.406819 35.521616
2025-02-23 6.696559 9.500577 12.994395 17.591359 23.397858 30.402727 39.398134
2025-03-02 5.612040 8.445508 12.128951 17.156596 23.717695 31.860896 42.588385
2025-03-09 4.837597 7.689451 11.543708 16.981055 24.284515 33.576190 46.088369
2025-03-16 4.123261 6.920910 10.849263 16.570797 24.469887 34.755574 48.891536
2025-03-23 3.676874 6.481455 10.555679 16.657552 25.283501 36.740176 52.758465
2025-03-30 3.255332 6.026049 10.188508 16.594069 25.857528 38.394456 56.209125
2025-04-06 2.956199 5.725637 10.016029 16.782189 26.767460 40.507434 60.310212
2025-04-13 2.691841 5.449613 9.851011 16.956627 27.645630 42.584349 64.400271
2025-04-20 2.521856 5.312688 9.886445 17.423863 28.953020 45.283561 69.402913
2025-04-27 2.337004 5.132158 9.840342 17.764356 30.091273 47.788916 74.224033
2025-05-04 2.107910 4.844044 9.591559 17.763522 30.705316 49.550641 78.033309
2025-05-11 1.783019 4.333725 8.922682 17.038493 30.167589 49.607632 79.397044
2025-05-18 1.579142 4.032090 8.586136 16.829045 30.405923 50.792648 82.393645
2025-05-25 1.370171 3.690897 8.147355 16.414005 30.289131 51.429194 84.588774
2025-06-01 1.217985 3.448461 7.866552 16.246433 30.551614 52.631210 87.629769
2025-06-08 1.056176 3.160381 7.472628 15.851159 30.415702 53.207504 89.737789
2025-06-15 0.964821 3.021218 7.353545 15.935219 31.069211 55.010820 93.719068
2025-06-22 0.867757 2.853742 7.162841 15.874067 31.469444 56.420864 97.125817
2025-06-29 0.802853 2.756775 7.106569 16.055723 32.284468 58.499291 101.591483
2025-07-06 0.742354 2.662127 7.046522 16.224154 33.077877 60.557171 106.061468